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DQNews Archived Article


California Foreclosures Down

February 12, 2003

La Jolla, CA.--The number of California homes going into foreclosure declined somewhat last year, the result of strong demand for housing and steadily rising home values.

Lending institutions started foreclosure proceedings on 78,784 homeowners in 2002. That was down 2.7 percent from 81,003 for 2001, according to DataQuick Information Systems.

Last year's number was the lowest DataQuick has in its default statistics, which go back to 1992. Default activity peaked in 1996 when 162,597 homes went into foreclosure. The numbers count Notices of Default, the first step of the formal foreclosure process.

"There's always a base level of foreclosure activity. California's numbers are actually a bit low right now and we expect them to rebound a bit as appreciation rates ease back. The numbers will also go up because of some of the newer and riskier so-called 'subprime' loans," said Marshall Prentice, DataQuick president.

That rising trend is already apparent in some of the regional numbers. Foreclosure activity in Southern California fell 8.5 percent from 48,017 in 2001 to 43,921 last year as home prices went up 16.5 percent from $231,000 to $269,000. Default activity in the Bay Area increased 23.0 percent from 10,567 to 12,993 as the median sales price increased 7.2 percent from $377,000 to $404,000. Bay Area homes are still much less likely to go into foreclosure than are homes in the rest of the state.

DataQuick, a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates, monitors real estate activity nationwide and provides information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies, lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts.

Eighty percent of the homeowners who found themselves in default were able to stop the foreclosure process by bringing their mortgage payments current, or by selling their home and paying the mortgage off. In the mid 1990s only half of all distressed homeowners were able to do that.

While foreclosure properties tugged property values down almost ten percent in some areas seven years ago, the effect on today's market is negligible, DataQuick reported.

In addition to the decline in foreclosures, there is unremarkable activity among other market stress indicators including loan-to-value ratios, seller financing and other unconventional financing usage, shifts in market mix, turnover rates and non-owner occupancy rates, DataQuick reported.

Tulare, Kern and Fresno counties had the highest relative foreclosure rates, while Marin and San Francisco counties had the lowest, DataQuick reported.


Notices of Default
recorded on residential property
in the year 2002

County 2001 2002 %Chg
Los Angeles 24,531 22,113 -9.9%
Orange County 3,660 3,456 -5.6%
San Diego 3,412 3,654 7.1%
Riverside 6,378 6,092 -4.5%
San Bernardino 8,640 7,214 -16.5%
Ventura 1,395 1,393 -0.2%
SoCal Total 48,017 43,921 -8.5%
San Francisco 470 504 7.3%
Alameda 2,662 3,193 20.0%
Contra Costa 2,484 2,953 18.9%
Santa Clara 2,046 2,960 44.7%
San Mateo 746 965 29.3%
Marin 267 341 27.7%
Solano 1,169 1,208 3.4%
Sonoma 541 684 26.3%
Napa 182 184 1.2%
Bay Area Total 10,567 12,993 23.0%
Santa Cruz 263 348 32.0%
Santa Barbara 597 572 -4.1%
San Luis Obispo 336 345 2.8%
Monterey 428 414 -3.4%
Coast Total 1,624 1,679 3.4%
Sacramento 4,832 4,229 -12.5%
San Joaquin 2,277 2,870 26.0%
Placer 666 802 20.4%
Kern 3,120 2,779 -10.9%
Fresno 3,849 3,545 -7.9%
Madera 630 529 -16.0%
Merced 672 640 -4.7%
Tulare 2,566 2,395 -6.7%
Yolo 354 345 -2.3%
El Dorado 290 368 27.1%
Stanislaus 1,539 1,689 9.7%
Inland Total 20,795 20,191 -2.9%
All California 81,003 78,784 -2.7%

Source: DataQuick Information Systems

Media Inquiries: John Karevoll (909)867-9534


Copyright © 2003 DataQuick Information Systems.
All rights reserved.


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