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DQNews Archived Article


California Foreclosures Down

May 5, 2003

La Jolla, CA.--The number of California homes going into foreclosure declined during the first three months of the year, the result of strong demand for housing and steadily rising home values, a real estate information service reported.

Lending institutions started foreclosure proceedings on 20,093 homeowners during the January-to-March period. That was up 4.5 percent from 19,225 for the prior quarter and down 14.2 percent from 23,406 for last year's first quarter, according to DataQuick Information Systems.

An increase from fourth quarter to first quarter is normal for the season. The January-to-March total was the lowest for any first quarter since 18,806 default notices were filed in 1992. The peak occurred during first quarter 1996 when lenders started foreclosure proceedings on 44,665 homeowners. The numbers count Notices of Default, the first step of the formal foreclosure process.

"Foreclosure activity is actually a bit low right now relative to the number of loans at risk, and we expect defaults to increase slightly throughout the rest of this year. If for no other reason, there are simply more fresh home loans out there than ever before," said Marshall Prentice, DataQuick president.

Because of record home sales and record refinance activity, lending institutions made 3,176,648 home loans totaling $626 billion last year, a record. Default rates are generally higher for relatively new loans.

DataQuick, a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates, monitors real estate activity nationwide and provides information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies, lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts.

Eighty percent of the homeowners who find themselves in default are able to stop the foreclosure process by bringing their mortgage payments current, or by selling their home and paying the mortgage off. In the mid 1990s only half of all distressed homeowners were able to do that.

While foreclosure properties tugged property values down almost ten percent in some areas seven years ago, the effect on today's market is negligible, DataQuick reported.

In addition to the decline in foreclosures, there is unremarkable activity among other market stress indicators including loan-to-value ratios, seller financing and other unconventional financing usage, shifts in market mix, turnover rates and non-owner occupancy rates, DataQuick reported.

Tulare, Madera and Kern counties had the highest relative foreclosure rates, while Marin, Napa and Orange counties had the lowest, DataQuick reported.


Notices of Default
recorded on residential property

County 1Q2002 1Q2003 %Chg
Los Angeles 6,730 5,135 -23.7%
Orange County 1,092 902 -17.4%
San Diego 1,070 1,000 -6.5%
Riverside 1,785 1,596 -10.6%
San Bernardino 2,197 1,828 -16.8%
Ventura 453 291 -35.8%
So Cal Total 13,327 10,752 -19.3%
San Francisco 146 148 1.4%
Alameda 862 876 1.6%
Contra Costa 881 894 1.4%
Santa Clara 866 937 8.2%
San Mateo 302 236 -21.8%
Marin 84 86 2.3%
Solano 343 350 2.1%
Sonoma 211 203 -4.1%
Napa 47 33 -28.6%
Bay Area Total 3,741 3,762 0.6%
Santa Cruz 97 93 -3.7%
Santa Barbara 151 151 0.0%
San Luis Obispo 121 131 7.8%
Monterey 135 135 0.0%
Coast Total 504 510 1.2%
Sacramento 1,196 1,024 -14.4%
San Joaquin 726 844 16.3%
Placer 239 204 -14.7%
Kern 879 695 -20.9%
Fresno 1,051 777 -26.1%
Madera 157 125 -20.3%
Merced 178 202 13.5%
Tulare 719 680 -5.4%
Yolo 94 75 -20.6%
El Dorado 102 83 -19.1%
Stanislaus 495 361 -27.0%
Inland Total 5,835 5,069 -13.1%
All California 23,406 20,093 -14.2%

Source: DataQuick Information Systems

Media Inquiries: John Karevoll (909)867-9534


Copyright © 2003 DataQuick Information Systems.
All rights reserved.


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